Available in USI have sat through my share of chaotic knockout nights, but Wednesday gave us something the record books had never seen before. Three Round-of-32 ties, three winners moving on — England, Belgium and the United States — and, right at the death in Seattle, the latest goal ever scored in a men’s World Cup. Belgium trailed Senegal 2-0 with five minutes of normal time left and somehow found a way to win it in the 125th minute. England did their job with a Harry Kane double, and the USA got through a man down. Here is the full July 1 recap, where the Round of 16 now stands, and the betting angles Canadian readers should be working through this morning.
Belgium 3-2 Senegal (a.e.t.) — The Latest Goal in World Cup History
This is the tie that will be replayed for years. Senegal were 2-0 up and cruising — Habib Diarra on 25 minutes, Ismaïla Sarr on 51 — and with 85 minutes gone they looked home. Then Romelu Lukaku pulled one back on 86, Youri Tielemans levelled on 89 to force extra time, and the game refused to settle. It went all the way to the end of the second extra period before Tielemans stepped up to convert a penalty at 120+5′ — a clock reading of 124:44, officially the latest goal ever scored in a men’s World Cup, and awarded after the longest VAR review of the tournament (Sky Sports; The Tribune, 2 Jul 2026).
The penalty divided the punditry. Gary Neville was blunt on Sky Sports:
"I genuinely don’t believe that’s a penalty."
"I don’t think it’s a penalty on the bar that’s been set in this tournament." — Gary Neville, Sky Sports, 1 Jul 2026.
Roy Keane was no warmer:
"It’s very, very harsh." — Roy Keane, Sky Sports, 1 Jul 2026.
Belgium will not care about the debate. They are into the Round of 16, where they meet the United States on July 6.
USA 2-0 Bosnia & Herzegovina — Through With Ten Men
The Americans did it the hard way. Folarin Balogun opened the scoring on the stroke of half-time (45′), but was then sent off on 64 minutes after a VAR review, leaving the co-hosts to see out more than 25 minutes a man down. Malik Tillman settled it on 81 to make it 2-0 and send the USA through (ESPN recap; CNN; US Soccer; CBS, 1 Jul 2026).
Head coach Mauricio Pochettino was not impressed with the dismissal:
"For me, never is it a red card."
"Never was there intention to step on the player." — Mauricio Pochettino, ESPN, 1 Jul 2026.
There is a real betting consequence here, not just a talking point: Balogun’s red card carries an automatic ban, ruling him out of the Round-of-16 meeting with Belgium on July 6. Any USA market for that tie should be priced without their leading forward — worth remembering before you take an early number.
England 2-1 DR Congo — Kane Moves Past Pelé
England were given a genuine scare. DR Congo’s Cipenga struck on 7 minutes and the lead held deep into the second half, before Harry Kane took over: a header on 75 and a composed second on 86 to turn the tie around (Sky Sports; EnglandFootball; FIFA, 1 Jul 2026). The brace carried Kane to 13 World Cup goals across his career — one clear of Pelé (12) on the all-time list. (For the record, his moment as England’s outright leading World Cup scorer came earlier in the tournament, against Panama on June 27, not here.)
England now face Mexico in the Round of 16 on July 5 — a marquee tie at either end of the outright board.
July 1 — Where the Round of 16 Stands
With these three results in, the bracket has firmed up further. The confirmed Round-of-16 ties as of this morning:
- Canada vs Morocco — July 4
- Paraguay vs France — July 4
- Brazil vs Norway — July 5
- Mexico vs England — July 5
- USA vs Belgium — July 6
The remaining ties wait on the last of the Round of 32 — Spain-Austria, Portugal-Croatia and Switzerland-Algeria today, then Australia-Egypt, Argentina-Cabo Verde and Colombia-Ghana on July 3. For Canadian readers the headline is unchanged and getting closer: Canada face Morocco on July 4, and our Canada vs Morocco R16 preview breaks that tie down in full, with the Canada at World Cup 2026 hub and the Group B page for the backdrop.
What July 1 Means for the Outright Market
Three more contenders banked their place, and the board moved accordingly. As of the morning of July 2 on Canadian-facing books (decimal):
- France — in a 2.85-3.60 (+185 to +260) range, still the clear favourite, though the two ends of that spread are a wide book-to-book gap worth shopping.
- Argentina — around 5.00-5.10 (+400 to +410).
- Spain — 8.00 (+700).
- England — 8.00-9.50 (+700 to +850) after seeing off DR Congo.
- Brazil — 11.00 (+1000).
- Belgium — 36.00 (+3500); USA — 26.00 (+2500).
On the Golden Boot market, Harry Kane sits at 8.00-8.50 (+700 to +750) on five tournament goals, chasing the pace set by Kylian Mbappé and Lionel Messi (both on six, and both shorter at 2.25 and 2.40).
- Belgium beat Senegal 3-2 after extra time, coming from 2-0 down; Tielemans’ 120+5′ penalty (124:44) is the latest goal ever scored in a men’s World Cup.
- The USA beat Bosnia 2-0 with ten men after Balogun’s 64′ red card — his automatic ban rules him out of the R16 against Belgium on July 6.
- England edged DR Congo 2-1; Kane’s brace took him to 13 career World Cup goals, one clear of Pelé.
- The R16 is filling in: Canada-Morocco and Paraguay-France (Jul 4), Brazil-Norway and Mexico-England (Jul 5), USA-Belgium (Jul 6).
Watching and Betting in Canada
Canadian-facing books such as Boomerang Bet, Betibet and TikiTaka re-priced the outright board and the R16 ties overnight, all in CAD. Single-game wagering is legal nationwide, with Ontario’s open market and provincial platforms elsewhere. Shop the line — the England outright alone swings 8.00 to 9.50 between books this morning, and that gap is real money over a knockout run. For today’s three remaining R32 ties, see our World Cup best bets for July 2, and for the framework start with the World Cup betting guide and the live World Cup 2026 odds board.
For the wider knockout story, our World Cup 2026 predictions hub updates after each result, and the World Cup upsets page has the historical context for nights like this one. Bet responsibly and within your limits.
