Available in USEight teams are left, all three co-hosts are gone, and five-time champions Brazil are out too — this is the most open final eight in years. The quarter-finals run across three days: France vs Morocco opens it in Boston this afternoon, Spain vs Belgium follows in Los Angeles on Friday, and Saturday brings a double-header of Norway vs England in Miami and Argentina vs Switzerland in Kansas City. This page is the reference hub — the bracket, every tie previewed, the outright and Golden Boot boards with timestamps, and where I think the value sits as the market narrows to a winner. For a specific match, jump to its dedicated preview via the links below.
All odds below are decimal quotes captured on the evening of July 8, drawn from FanDuel, DraftKings and bet365 media feeds and our partner books, shown as ranges where books disagree. Aggregators were unavailable, so treat single-book prices as indicative ranges, not consensus. Confirm the live number at your book before staking. All stakes in CAD.
Table of Contents
- The bracket — how the last eight lines up
- Quarter-final fixtures and match odds
- Outright winner odds
- Golden Boot odds
- Dark horses among the eight
- Where the value sits
The Bracket — How the Last Eight Lines Up
The path to the final is now fully mapped. The four quarter-final winners feed two semi-finals:
- Semi-final 1 (Tuesday, July 14, Dallas): winner of France/Morocco vs winner of Spain/Belgium
- Semi-final 2 (Wednesday, July 15, Atlanta): winner of Norway/England vs winner of Argentina/Switzerland
That top half — France, Morocco, Spain, Belgium — is where three of the four shortest outright prices sit, so it is effectively the tournament’s "group of death" bracket. The bottom half is more open: Argentina are the class team left in it, but Norway (with Erling Haaland in this form), England, and a stubborn Switzerland make it the half a value hunter studies hardest.
Quarter-Final Fixtures and Match Odds
Quarter-final 1 — France vs Morocco. Thursday, July 9, 4:00 PM ET, Gillette Stadium, Boston. France 1.56-1.59, draw 3.80-3.95, Morocco 6.00-6.90. A 2022 semi-final rematch and, for Canadians, the team that knocked out our co-hosts. Full breakdown in the France vs Morocco preview.
Quarter-final 2 — Spain vs Belgium. Friday, July 10, 3:00 PM ET (12:00 PT), SoFi Stadium, Los Angeles. Spain 1.61, draw 4.00, Belgium 5.25 (a fractional feed had Belgium longer, near 5.80). Spain’s back-four run against a Belgium side missing Amadou Onana. See the Spain vs Belgium preview.
Quarter-final 3 — Norway vs England. Saturday, July 11, 5:00 PM ET, Hard Rock Stadium, Miami. Norway 3.80, draw 3.50, England 1.85-1.95. Haaland’s Norway, on their first-ever World Cup quarter-final, against an England side in an injury-and-suspension squeeze. See the Norway vs England preview.
Quarter-final 4 — Argentina vs Switzerland. Saturday, July 11, 9:00 PM ET, Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City. Argentina 1.71-1.80, draw 3.50, Switzerland 5.25. Messi and the holders against a Swiss side in their first quarter-final since 1954. See the Argentina vs Switzerland preview.
Outright Winner Odds
France have pulled clear as the tournament favourite. The board as of July 8 (decimal, FanDuel via FOX Sports, with cross-book ranges in prose):
- France — 2.80 (+180); cross-book range roughly 2.75-2.88, favourite at every book
- Spain — 4.70 (+370)
- Argentina — 4.90 (+390); backed hard after the 3-2 comeback over Egypt
- England — 5.60 (+460)
- Norway — 15.0 (+1400)
- Morocco — 28.0 (+2700)
- Belgium — 31.0 (+3000)
- Switzerland — 34.0 (+3300)
One note for line-shoppers: Argentina and England swap third and fourth depending on the book — FanDuel has Argentina 4.90 / England 5.60, while some UK books price Argentina as short as 4.00, ahead of Spain. If you fancy Argentina, the British-facing number is materially better.
Golden Boot Odds
The Golden Boot market has a new favourite. Lionel Messi scored against Egypt on July 7 to move to eight goals — sole leader — and the books have reacted:
- Lionel Messi (Argentina) — 2.20; eight goals, scored in every match
- Kylian Mbappé (France) — 2.40; seven goals, took the Paraguay penalty
- Erling Haaland (Norway) — 8.50; seven goals, four of them match-winners
- Harry Kane (England) — 10.0; six goals
- Ousmane Dembélé (France) — 51.0
- Mikel Oyarzabal (Spain) — 71.0
Messi is that rare thing — simultaneously the market favourite and the on-pitch leader — and at 2.20 he is short but live given Argentina’s plausible run. Mbappé at 2.40 is priced almost level despite trailing by a goal, on the strength of France’s deeper expected run.
Dark Horses Among the Eight
No book runs a standalone “dark horse” market, so the honest version is simply the three longest live prices: Switzerland (34.0), Belgium (31.0) and Morocco (28.0). Of the three, Morocco have the clearest route to a memorable run — unbeaten, defensively excellent, and already past the Netherlands and Canada. Norway (15.0) are shorter but genuinely dangerous with Haaland in this form; they are the “live longshot” rather than a true dark horse now. For the season-long view, our World Cup dark horses and value bets pages track this market.
Where the Value Sits
The read across the round:
- France to reach the final is the safest structural bet on the board — the top half is tough, but they are a clear cut above Morocco and would be favoured against Spain or Belgium too.
- Argentina at the UK-style 4.00 is the outright I would take if I could get the price — the class of an open bottom half, with Messi leading the scoring charts.
- Norway on the +1400 outright is the small-stake swing — first-ever quarter-final, but Haaland has already sunk Brazil, and their half of the draw is the weaker one.
- Under 2.5 goals in France-Morocco is the single-game lean of the day (see the dedicated preview).
- All three co-hosts and Brazil are out — the most open final eight in years, with France (2.80) the clear favourite.
- The top-half bracket (France, Morocco, Spain, Belgium) is the tougher side; the bottom half (Norway, England, Argentina, Switzerland) is where value hunters look.
- Messi (2.20) is the new Golden Boot favourite on eight goals, just ahead of Mbappé (2.40).
- Best structural bet: France to reach the final; best value swing: Argentina outright at the UK-style 4.00, or Norway at 15.0 small.
Betting the Quarter-Finals in Canada
All eight teams’ markets are live on Canadian-facing books such as Boomerang Bet, Betibet, Blitz.bet, Rabona and Spinit, priced in CAD. Single-game wagering is legal nationwide, with Ontario’s open market and provincial platforms (PlayNow, others) elsewhere. Line-shopping matters more than usual this round — the Argentina outright alone swings from 4.00 to 4.90 between books, and Belgium’s match price ran 5.25 to 5.80.
For the framework start with our World Cup betting guide and the live World Cup 2026 odds board; for the scoring market see Golden Boot odds, and for the title picture the World Cup 2026 predictions hub. Provincial specifics are in the Ontario sportsbooks guide. Please bet within your limits.
